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Marginal Revolution

Marginal Revolution is the blog of Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok, both of whom teach at George Mason University. MR began in August of 2003 and there have been new posts daily since that time. In numerous reviews and ratings over the years Marginal Revolution has consistently been ranked as the best or one of the best economic blogs on the web, but it is more (and less) than that, also representing the quirks of its authors.

  • by Tyler Cowen
    1. Critique of Villaroel on UAPs. 2. Bergen County (Korean) fact of the day. 3. AIs cracking superforecasting. 4. Gregor Benko, RIP (NYT). 5. Joshua Saxe on the increase in cyber risk. 6. Lichtenstein political infighting heats up (FT). 7. Risk, the biggie.  And on the Suwalki gap. The post Saturday assorted links appeared first […]
  • by Alex Tabarrok
    Scott Aaranson, theoretical computer scientist writes: My position on AI is merely the conservative, skeptical position of 2006, updated with intellectual honesty for the reality of late 2026. And that position, if you need me to spell it out, is as follows: AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA It seems to me that the Singularity has already started; […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    Using a panel of 81 countries across six World Values Survey waves (1990–2022), we examine whether growth in internet diffusion is associated with religious decline. We construct a six-item composite religiosity index, align annual macro series to wave periods, and estimate country fixed-effects models with one-wave lags and a broad set of modernization, demographic, welfare-state, […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    Asit Singh, founder of Syngi, received his grant to develop sub-angstrom optical MEMS sensors for next-generation semiconductor lithography. Rishabh received his grant to build a platform for real-time updates from Delhi courts, making judicial activity easier to track and understand. Hari and Naveen received their grant for Archgen AI, an agentic ecosystem connecting legacy EDA […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    The post Scott Beaulier interviews me, in part about Wyoming appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
  • by Tyler Cowen
    1. Gender differences in financial information processing. 2. Urban harassment of women in India. 3. The making of Roger Scruton? 4. Astra vs. Enigma. 5. Coetzee on genocide. 6. Dan Ariely update.  And running for office in Israel. 7. A more sober look at the HuggingFace incident (WSJ). 8. Cass Sunstein on AI regulation and […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    That is a new Nature paper by Jiacheng Miao, Joe R. Davis, Yaohui Zhang, Jonathan K. Pritchard, and James Zou.  Here goes: Here we introduce Paper2Agent, an automated framework that converts research papers into artificial intelligence (AI) agents. Paper2Agent transforms research output from passive artefacts into active systems that accelerate use and discovery. Conventional research […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    And this leads to the most interesting part of this story: how the highlanders were so isolated for so long. I want to acknowledge that the highlanders were not completely, hermetically sealed off from the outside world – it’s just that knowledge of outside world never actually made it to them or vice versa. Over […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    1. An American at Brazil’s largest rodeo. 2. Ingeborg Bachmann centenary. 3. “Huawei Technologies Co. predicted on Wednesday that global computing demand will surge 100,000-fold by 2035, with AI agents generating over 90% of network traffic.”  And a report from someone who has done AI diplomacy with China (NYT). 4. “US Gov Federal Register use […]
  • by Alex Tabarrok
    I am not a big fan of the “now more than ever” post, which interprets recent events to support—surprise!—something the writer already believed. And yet…is it not obvious that AI risk increases the value of pandemic preparation? If COVID began with a laboratory leak—plausible, though unproven—then a research accident has already killed millions. Whatever its […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    Here is the audio, video, and transcript.  Here is the episode summary: Annie Lowrey’s new book, The Time Tax, argues that the most regressive levy in American life is the hours each of us must spend on hold, in waiting rooms, and filling out forms a competent state would have pre-filled — roughly fifty a year […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    I agree with Alex that the standard model of regulatory capture does not apply here, but I think he neglects the best model we have.  From my recent Free Press piece: Recently I have been reading my review copy of Kevin Roose’s excellent forthcoming book The AGI Chronicles: The Inside Story of the Race to Create an […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    Always focus on what you can learn from people and groups.  Criticize in ways where you can learn something from the answer (or non-answer) and from the dialogue.  If you attack how people look, their sex lives, their donors, whatever, it will make the critic stupider.  It may not even hurt the target of the […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    1. Competitive market behavior with LLMs? 2. Prophets of the Marginal Revolution. 3. The university after AI. 4. Which African nations are spending on education? 5. @mattyglesias: “In an all-or-nothing scenario, bond interest rates would go to the moon. Why lend money at 5% (or whatever) if the two options are not being repaid and […]
  • by Tyler Cowen
    Michael Kremer picked as World Bank chief economist (Bloomberg).  Here are many many previous MR posts on Kremer, of course Alex also worked with him on Operation Warp Speed. The post Very good news appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.